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#disaster

12 posts11 participants2 posts today

"Modeling Reemergence of Vaccine-Eliminated Infectious Diseases Under Declining Vaccination in the US"

jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/

"At current state-level vaccination rates, measles may become endemic again; increasing vaccine coverage would prevent this. Under a 50% decline in childhood vaccination in the US, the simulation model predicted 51.2 million #measles cases over a 25-year period, 9.9 million #rubella cases, 4.3 million #poliomyelitis cases, 197 #diphtheria cases, 10.3 million hospitalizations, and 159,200 deaths."

Note that the graphic is labeled "25% decline in childhood vaccination" not 50%. I think this is because the authors wanted an "average" of their models for the graphic. Bottom line: It's bad at 25% and can only get worse! Also note that the #measles numbers are much larger because it is so much more contagious!

People... this would be an *appalling* outcome of the current anti-vax, anti-science, anti-child confusion and policies of the current #Trump administration!

Preparing for the next #disaster . . .

I built a battery backup system for my gas CH system electrics that keeps me warm in a brown outs. Most boilers have this as a factory option.

WHY?

Where I live in the UK we have onshore solar, offshore wind farms, the Nemo link 400 KV link to Zeebrugge and everso' green (honest) Canadian tree burner power plant at Sandwich. Dungeness nuke ceased in 2018 so we need this all to play nicely!

NOBODY KNOWS HOW THIS ALL WORKS except Fred and he is on holiday in Portugal

"With hurricane season just weeks away, about 20% of FEMA’s permanent full-time staff – roughly 1,000 workers – are expected to take a voluntary buyout as part of the latest staff reduction effort from Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency, according to several sources briefed on the looming departures."

cnn.com/2025/04/23/politics/fe

CNN · FEMA losing roughly 20% of permanent staff, including longtime leaders, ahead of hurricane seasonBy Gabe Cohen