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#PolyMarket

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The #CBC At Issue panel discusses last night's #LeadersDebate: m.youtube.com/watch?v=q59fq-Ts

It was a good debate for #PierrePoilievre, they say, and #MarkCarney showed his inexperience at politics. (FWIW, #Polymarket's odds for a Liberal win went up about 2% at the end of the debate, and then drifted down by the same amount.)

#ChantalHébert points out that if the #CPC were to go up in overall support, that would likely push more NDP/BQ voters to the Liberals in response.

The fact that I joined UMA's Discord server (the blockchain oracle which decides whether events happened), and asked about a particular resolution which seems inaccurate, and was immediately banned from the server should tell you everything you need to know about #UMA / #Polymarket


Discord is their only supported discussion medium, so it's not like I was in the wrong place.

"The meteoric rise of the crypto betting platform Polymarket, the billions of dollars placed in bets on the outcome of the United States presidential election, and rumors of market manipulation and other malfeasance seem to have culminated in various investigations against the platform.

One, from France’s gambling regulator, seeks to “examin[e] [Polymarket’s] operation and compliance with French gambling legislation”. French law requires gambling platforms to register with and submit to oversight from the country’s gambling authority, as well as pay rather hefty taxes. Polymarket has not done any of these things, and so is likely to be shut down in the country. Although France’s gambling regulator has reportedly been eyeing the platform for a while now, the headline-making bets on a Donald Trump win from a trader who claims to be French [I69] may have hastened things along.

Over in the US, the FBI raided the apartment of Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan on November 13. Although Polymarket is based in the United States, it is not meant to be available to US-based bettors following a 2022 wind-down order (and fine) from the CFTC [W3IGG]. However, Polymarket — like many crypto platforms — does the bare minimum to pretend they’re putting in effort to prevent prohibited users from using the platform. If a person tries to place bets while connected from an IP address that geolocates to the United States, the site prevents them from doing so. However, IP-based location spoofing is an incredibly easy task, and many Americans have been using this technique to gain access to betting on the site."

citationneeded.news/issue-70/

Citation Needed · Issue 70 – The Cryptocurrency States of AmericaCrypto’s efforts to buy the 2024 elections paid off, and we’re in for a bumpy ride.
Continued thread

I wrote about Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan briefly in this piece which described the people in a photograph from July that included from front left to back right: Ken Howery, Shervin Pishevar, Shane Coplan, Donald Trump, Jr., Omeed Malik and David Sacks.

#Polymarket #ShayneCoplan #Thiel #OmeedMalik #DonaldTrumpJr #DavidSacks #KenHowery #ShervinPishevar

newstracs.com/chart-and-overvi

🚨👀🚨
FBI seizes Polymarket CEO’s Phone and Electronics

Polymarket was the source of all the breathless coverage of election prediction markets that dominated a large section of election coverage.

the #NewYorkPost editorializes the story grotesquely with with "after it predicts #Trump's win".... article is so deeply spun into pretending this is a plot against trump that i'm hesitant to even link to it but here it is. only quotes Polymarket sources.

my hunch is that there were tons of americans illegally betting on the election.

nypost.com/2024/11/13/business