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#quantitative

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"As a #quantitative #socialscientist who has studied #religious change in modern societies for more than 25 years, I’m surprised – and sceptical. I do not doubt that the #BibleSociety acted in good faith, but they haven’t engaged with the mountain of #evidence, some of it very recent, pointing to #religiousdecline.

Is there really a #religiousrevival in England? Why I’m sceptical of a new report
theconversation.com/is-there-r

#interrogatethedata
#criticalthinking
#Probabilitysampling
#datasampling

The ConversationIs there really a religious revival in England? Why I’m sceptical of a new report
More from The Conversation UK
Continued thread

"Modern civilisation has a number of extremely delicate and highly interconnected components whose graceful degradation is effectively impossible."

It is "much easier to break things than to build them up. The government administrations of Britain, France and Germany for example, were set up at a time in the nineteenth century when the rising middle classes demanded a properly functioning state[…]. It took perhaps a generation for professional, neutral public services to fully emerge."

"Forty years of globalised neoliberalism have broken our societies, our economies and our political systems, and we no longer have the ability to put them back together."

braveneweurope.com/aurelien-th

Brave New Europe · Aurelien - The End? - Brave New EuropeThere must be some way out of here … surely? Cross-posted from Aurelien’s substack A scene from Samuel Beckett’s Endgame The original idea behind these essays when I started them three years ago, was that [...]

Reading Material With Lunch, Etc – Getting Back To My Roots
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doi.org/10.4324/9780429270284 | Thornes, J. B., Brunsden, D. (1977). Geomorphology and time. London: Methuen
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I saw this book on another post - and so went and found a copy at a 2nd hand book shop…
Looking forward to lunches at work with a cup of tea and maybe a couple of rainy Sundays at home…
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#geomorphology #text #book #landforms #learning #refamiliarisation #readingforpleasure #framework #model #processes #geology #water #hydrology #weather #climate #erosion #time #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #temporal #qualitative #quantitative #change #stochastic #evolution

My day job is all about #genes, so I applaud the #genomic revolution in #paleontology and #evolutionary #biology. But #evolution really is more than a shift in #allele frequencies over time. It's also change in the #phenotypes those alleles produce, and their #interaction with the world around them. 🧪🖥🧬🦖

cambridge.org/core/journals/pa

So I'm equally excited about the #quantitative revolution in describing and cataloguing #traits which until recently could only be analyzed #qualitatively. There's a whole new window opening into the history of life.

Cambridge CoreMorphological evolution in a time of phenomics | Paleobiology | Cambridge CoreMorphological evolution in a time of phenomics

A new spike-in-based method for quantitative metabarcoding of soil fungi and bacteria

link.springer.com/article/10.1

SpringerLinkA new spike-in-based method for quantitative metabarcoding of soil fungi and bacteria - International MicrobiologyMetabarcoding is a powerful tool to characterize biodiversity in biological samples. The interpretation of taxonomic profiles from metabarcoding data has been hindered by their compositional nature. Several strategies have been proposed to transform compositional data into quantitative data, but they have intrinsic limitations. Here, I propose a workflow based on bacterial and fungal cellular internal standards (spike-ins) for absolute quantification of the microbiota in soil samples. These standards were added to the samples before DNA extraction in amounts estimated after qPCRs, to target around 1–2% coverage in the sequencing run. In bacteria, proportions of spike-in reads in the sequencing run were very similar (< 2-fold change) to those predicted by the qPCR assessment, and for fungi they differed up to 40-fold. The low variation among replicates highlights the reproducibility of the method. Estimates based on multiple bacterial spike-ins were highly correlated (r = 0.99). Procrustes analysis evidenced significant biological effects on the community composition when normalizing compositional data. A protocol based on qPCR estimation of input amounts of cellular spikes is proposed as a cheap and reliable strategy for quantitative metabarcoding of biological samples.
Continued thread

Susan McVie, Prof of Quantitative #Criminology at University of Edinburgh researches a wide range of topics & invites PhD applications on:

*youth crime & justice
*violence & homicide
*developmental crim/criminal careers
*stop & search
*crime trends & patterns
*assaults against police
*policing & pandemic

research.ed.ac.uk/en/persons/s

University of Edinburgh Research ExplorerSusan McVie

The piranha problem: Large effects swimming in a small pond.
Christopher Tosh, Philip Greengard, Ben Goodrich, Andrew Gelman, @avehtari, @djhsu
2 Apr 2024
arxiv.org/abs/2105.13445

In a lot of social science research, small, random factors are reported as having large effects on social and political attitudes and behavior (social priming, hormonal levels,parental socioeconomic status, weather, ...). Studies have claimed to find large effects from these and other inputs.

The results show that it would be extremely unlikely to have all these large effects coexisting—they would have to almost exactly cancel each other out.

arXiv.orgThe piranha problem: Large effects swimming in a small pondIn some scientific fields, it is common to have certain variables of interest that are of particular importance and for which there are many studies indicating a relationship with different explanatory variables. In such cases, particularly those where no relationships are known among the explanatory variables, it is worth asking under what conditions it is possible for all such claimed effects to exist simultaneously. This paper addresses this question by reviewing some theorems from multivariate analysis showing that, unless the explanatory variables also have sizable dependencies with each other, it is impossible to have many such large effects. We discuss implications for the replication crisis in social science.

New #introduction: I’m the Mark Andrews Fellow in Book Science at OBNS (Old Books New Science) Lab, University of Toronto, and a #MedievalManuscripts scholar and cataloguer. My research mainly focuses on later #medieval European #manuscripts with an emphasis on scientific and #quantitative methods, #materiality, and provenance studies. 📚 📜 🔬 📊
#BookScience #codicology #palaeography #BookHistory #HeritageScience #parchment #DigitalHumanities #quant #statistics

For 30+ years, we've been raising awareness and building capacity in social research methods through a series of short courses and other events.
surrey.ac.uk/department-sociol
Many of you know us for our specialism in Computer Assisted Qualitative Data AnalysiS (#CAQDAS) but the department also hosts many other methods courses - check them out on our website and note that we offer discounts for #UGPN members
#Qualitative #Quantitative #MixedMethods #SocialResearchMethods