med-mastodon.com is one of the many independent Mastodon servers you can use to participate in the fediverse.
Medical community on Mastodon

Administered by:

Server stats:

408
active users

#forecasting

2 posts2 participants0 posts today

Forecasting the Ocean: The 2025–2035 Decade of Ocean Science (2025). Report provides advice on how to focus investments in ocean research, infrastructure, and workforce to meet national and global challenges in the coming decade and beyond. #ocean #climate #research #infrastructure #forecasting #water Forecasting the Ocean

nap.nationalacademies.org/cata

The National Academies PressForecasting the Ocean: The 2025–2035 Decade of Ocean ScienceRead online, download a free PDF, or order a copy in print.

Forecasting the Ocean: The 2025–2035 Decade of Ocean Science (2025). Report provides advice on how to focus investments in ocean research, infrastructure, and workforce to meet national and global challenges in the coming decade and beyond. #ocean #climate #research #infrastructure #forecasting #water Forecasting the Ocean

nap.nationalacademies.org/cata

The National Academies PressForecasting the Ocean: The 2025–2035 Decade of Ocean ScienceRead online, download a free PDF, or order a copy in print.

All Living #Weather #Service Directors Unite Against #Trump's Dangerous Blunt-Force #Cuts Yesterday was 1 of those days that will B remembered as demarcation line for earth sciences community. >1,000 longtime employees of #NOAA retired or left federal service yesterday. Amount of #experience lost from federal agency responsible for #atmospheric #oceanic #fisheries #science in this country was massive, estimated at 27,000 yrs + termination of probationary employees #weather #forecasting #climate

Checking my LinkedIn feed, I came across this three-pager commentary on the past, current and future use of ML in Numerical Weather Prediction. The author Stephen G Penny (Sofar Ocean) concentrates a lot of information into those three pages but I found it a rewarding read. It is rather technical, be warned. But no explicit maths therein. #AI #meteorology #weather #forecasting #modelling

agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.co

#WhiteHouse Proposal Could Gut #Climate Modeling the World Depends On
Now it is directly undermining the #science and research of #climatechange itself, in ways that #scientists say will have dangerous consequences.
Cuts to #NOAA, whose weather and climate research touches almost every facet of American life, are targeting a 57yr partnership between Princeton and #US government that produces what many consider world’s most advanced #climatemodeling & #forecasting systems.
propublica.org/article/trump-n

ProPublicaWhite House Proposal Could Gut Climate Modeling the World Depends On
More from ProPublica

Bloomberg: US Weather Analysis for 21 States Goes Dark After Funding Lapse

"...eather analysis tools used by a wide array of businesses and government entities across the US have gone dark after funding for long-running regional climate hubs lapsed.

The websites for three US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration regional centers serving 21 states across the central and southeastern US — including the Dakotas, the Carolinas, Alabama and Georgia — have gone dark, according to service notifications posted on the centers’ home pages. The Southern Regional Climate Center, which serves Texas and Louisiana, among other states, has also lost funding, director John Neilsen-Gammon said in an interview Thursday...."

(paywall)
bloomberg.com/news/articles/20

#noaa#nws#weather

Stand Up for NOAA Research — The Time to Act Is Now

April 17, 2025

A Statement of the American Meteorological Society in Partnership with the National Weather Association

The administration’s 2026 budget passback plan, currently under consideration, eliminates NOAA’s Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR) Office and its 10 research laboratories and 16 affiliated Cooperative Institutes, and moves the few remaining research efforts to different NOAA departments. If enacted, the passback would close all of NOAA’s weather, climate, and ocean Laboratories and Cooperative Institutes.

The speed at which these decisions are being made translates into little to no opportunity for feedback or consideration of long-term impacts. Without NOAA research, National Weather Service (NWS) weather models and products will stagnate, observational data collection will be reduced, public outreach will decrease, undergraduate and graduate student support will drop, and NOAA funding for universities will plummet. In effect, the scientific backbone and workforce needed to keep weather forecasts, alerts, and warnings accurate and effective will be drastically undercut, with unknown — yet almost certainly disastrous — consequences for public safety and economic health. As key stakeholders, AMS and NWA stand ready to provide our expertise so that the U.S. can maintain its competitiveness in the years ahead.

blog.ametsoc.org/2025/04/17/st

#noaa#nws#weather
Replied in thread

@ChrisMayLA6
#Forecasting (economics) is fraught with inaccuracies (as they must be in an irrational world) and yet, it is a vital task in setting #budgets, an ungrateful task. The problem lies not with the frail forecasts but with the decisions based on over optimistic outcomes and a desire to achieve, politically speaking, what few other govt have.

I relate it to #project management planning phases with spend lines and timings - very few (if any at all depending on the sector concerned) live up to their painstakingly put together Gantt charts.

And therein lies the lessons that govts seem clueless about.

Fired #climate scientist Tom Di Liberto says lives are at risk from #extremeweather as more cuts loom over the U.S. government agency responsible for #forecasting and much more. Di Liberto lost his job as part of a massive purge by the Trump administration, and worries the layoffs will not only cost the U.S. more money, but will cripple weather forecasting across the continent, leaving many people vulnerable to #NaturalHazards

What On Earth with Laura Lynch - cbc.ca/listen/live-radio/1-429

Continued thread

DOGE moves to cancel #NOAA leases on key weather buildings
axios.com/2025/03/03/doge-noaa

"One of the buildings is the nerve center for generating national #weather forecasts.

It was designed to integrate multiple #forecasting centers in one building to improve operating #efficiency. It houses telecommunications equipment to send weather #data & forecasts across the #US & abroad...

Elon Musk's #DOGE has been working through the #GSA to cancel #government leases"

#Musk#Coup#Trump

Axios: DOGE moves to cancel NOAA leases on key weather buildings

"...two pivotal centers for weather forecasting will soon have their leases canceled, sources told Axios.

Why it matters: One of the buildings is the nerve center for generating national weather forecasts. ..."

axios.com/2025/03/03/doge-noaa

Axios · DOGE moves to cancel NOAA leases on key weather buildingsBy Andrew Freedman

Projected La Niña/El Niño induced extreme weather for US. Extreme floods and droughts becoming more common. #climatechange #ElNiño #LaNiña #weather #forecasting #US nature.com/articles/s41612-025

NatureProjected increase in ENSO-induced US winter extreme hydroclimate events in SPEAR large ensemble simulation - npj Climate and Atmospheric ScienceObservational records during the past several decades show a marked increase in boreal winter extreme US hydroclimate events, with extreme floods and droughts becoming more common. Coincidentally, El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a key driver of US precipitation and associated extreme hydroclimate on interannual time scales, has also increased in amplitude and is projected to continue increasing throughout the 21st century. This study examines future changes in ENSO and its impacts on the US winter extreme hydroclimate events (e.g., drought and flood) by using a large ensemble simulation. Results in this study show that both the amplitude of ENSO and ENSO-induced atmospheric teleconnections are projected to strengthen, leading to a significant increase in US precipitation variability and extreme hydroclimate events, albeit with notable regional differences. Signal-to-noise ratio analysis shows that the ENSO signal explains a significantly increased fraction of the total variance in US winter precipitation compared to non-ENSO factors (i.e., noise), suggesting a growing role of ENSO in future US extreme hydroclimate events. Further analysis shows that while both the increase in ENSO amplitude and the atmospheric response to ENSO have a similar impact on the hydroclimate over the Southeast and Southwest US, the amplification of the atmospheric response to ENSO plays a more dominant role in the Northeast US.