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#causation

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#Microsoft's viral paper about *correlations* between #AI use and #criticalThinking also has "impact" in the title (despite admitting "Our analysis does not establish #causation"). 🤦‍♂️

#Confidence in #GenAI predicted LESS critical thinking.

SELF-confidence predicted MORE critical thinking.

PREDICTED ≠ CAUSED

microsoft.com/en-us/research/p

Continued thread

…we expanded our reach in 2005-2015 to ”smarter everything“ categories still with regional, governmental and industrial, logistics organizations. Then, from 2010-today, clarity in our mission led to an #IoT #IIoT maturity model of #connection, #communication, #contextualization, #collaboration, #causation, #conceptualization and #cognition leading to #SensorAnalyticsEcosystems

Podcasts, chats and panel discussions covering many areas related to…

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@ordosmarkzero

Yes. You'll find a lot with a #duckduckgo search.

From the #EvolutionaryBiology perspective there is the human need to see patterns where there are none.

"That cloud looks like an elephant." for example.

#Causation vs #Correlation challenges everywhere.

The quote, "Never attribute to intention what can be explained by incompetence." has many variations that push back on our tendency to jump to the nefarious when the truth is more banal.

We’ve all heard the thing where mom says, “don’t go in the water for at least an hour after eating.”

I wonder how many generations of mothers, going back how many hundreds of thousands of years, in how many human and pre-human species, have cautioned their children about this because they saw what could happen?

And scientists are finally getting around to testing whether it’s really #causation, or just #correlation.

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⬆️ Connecting the dots regarding #China, #Russia, #Ukraine, #Iran, #SaudiArabia, #Israel. #BFD

Meanwhile, #Russia too is distancing itself from #Trump #VP #JDVance if its state TV coverage of #Vance reported by #JuliaDavis is to be believed

All of the above are discrete data points, and we know that EVERYONE who confuses #correlation and #causation ends up dying.

Still, it is tantalizing to imagine the implications if these are indeed connected 👀

@hanse_mina @tobie1 @GreenFire @lawyerjsd