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Megatrend **#29** - The Arrival of the Humanoid Robots: "A decade of progress in a year; the humanoid robot era is here, and it's accelerating with astonishing speed and breathtaking developments." - Futurist Jim Carroll

The humanoid robot industry is accelerating due to a convergence of advanced AI, collapsing hardware costs, and massive new investment.

This is moving humanoids from science fiction to industrial reality, with deployments scaling in factories to address global labor shortages. The next wave will expand into healthcare and elder care, bringing the long-term vision of domestic assistance closer to reality.

What does it mean? Well, for one thing, my family keeps telling me that I'll need to have some sort of hobby when I eventually retire. So I've settled on the idea that within 5 years, I'll probably have a humanoid robot in the house that I can train and work with. I've been telling the guys on the golf course that I'll be showing up with my robot caddy at some point - it will carry my bag, and perhaps offer up some golf advice.

I made a short little video imagining this.

youtube.com/watch?v=Q5ErU70Rdq

Most of them were not amused. My wife, in particular, is not excited by the idea and has registered an emphatic NO. I can see this is going to take some work.

That said, the cost for these fascinating little devices is fast approaching the PC-cost collapse curve, with the Chinese-made Unitree R1 now available for $5,900 US. Give it a few years, and you'll be able to grab one for $999.

We stand at a historic inflection point in humanoid robotics, driven by the powerful convergence of exponential AI advances, unprecedented capital investment, revolutionary training technologies, and rapidly falling hardware costs—all unfolding within a distinct geopolitical landscape that will shape the future of work.

There's a full PDF right here if you want to dig in further.

pdf.jimcarroll.com/Megatrend29

All of this means that what we thought was far away is suddenly... at our doorstep.

**#Humanoid** **#Robots** **#AI** **#Automation** **#Technology** **#Innovation** **#Manufacturing** **#Healthcare** **#Future** **#Workforce**

Original post: jimcarroll.com/2025/08/decodin

Ford says it's cracked the code on cheap EVs, thanks to more streamlined manufacturing processes and lithium iron phosphate batteries that the company says are more durable, faster charging and more affordable than what it currently uses. There will be more use of automation and robots, but the company declined to specify how this compares to current manufacturing. Ford announced a "family" of low-cost vehicles that will be made in Kentucky, starting with a four-door mid-sized pickup that will arrive in 2027 and will cost $30,000. Here's more from @theverge.

flip.it/ayD2Vl

Ford Universal EV Platform_16x9
The Verge · Ford reveals breakthrough process for lower priced EVsBy Andrew J. Hawkins
Replied in thread

@wdlindsy Having lived an economic life since the late 1970s, I can attest that prices never go back down. They can't because one thing that capital markets fear more than inflation is deflation. There were periods when wages slowly caught up, but with #automation and #AI, I can't see that ever happening in the present. It's a perfect storm of fiscal malfeasance.

I was having a conversation with a friend about media formats. She loves going into thrift stores and getting old cassettes which is something we did yesterday.

I asked her why. They are poor quality, rarely last long, and that unforced "stretch" thing they do makes my soul ache, sonically.

She described the ritual of cassettes, of vinyl, of "eight track (?)". She was lost in a world of nostalgia; something I don't have in me. I cannot empathise for the past.

I told her I had never used a cassette. She was shocked. I don't see why. Then I remembered Mickey Mouse.

I must have been small small. Like needing help wiping your bum small. I vaguely remember I had an anamatronic (sp?) Mickey Mouse. When you took off his overalls, a cassette thingie was visible on his back. You put in a cassette, closed it, dressed him again, and pressed play on his...nose? Ear?

He would tell a story with hand movements and facial expressions. And if you were rich and had more than one doll, they would act together.

Does anyone else remember this thing? As I said, I was small small. Am I making this up? Did I actually use a cassette?