Boud<p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://23.social/@markusreuter" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@<span>markusreuter</span></a></span> </p><p>Based on the 2022 population estimate of non-occupied Georgia of about 3.7 million [1], the <a href="https://framapiaf.org/tags/ChenowethStephan" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ChenowethStephan</span></a> statistical threshold of 3.5% of the population of a country in sustained <a href="https://framapiaf.org/tags/CivilDisobedience" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>CivilDisobedience</span></a> / <a href="https://framapiaf.org/tags/NonViolentProtest" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>NonViolentProtest</span></a> as the threshold for success is about 130 thousand. 100k is clearly a round number estimate, but would still give 2.7%.</p><p>We'll soon know if this case is consistent with the <a href="https://framapiaf.org/tags/ChenowethStephanThreshold" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ChenowethStephanThreshold</span></a> .</p><p>[1] <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_%28country%29" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_</span><span class="invisible">%28country%29</span></a></p><p>[2] <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erica_Chenoweth" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erica_Ch</span><span class="invisible">enoweth</span></a></p>