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China has some of the highest incidence rates of esophageal squamouse cell carcinoma in the world. This nice cohort study estimated progression rates to advanced neoplasia (high grade dysplasia or cancer) among those with lower grades, finding that about 1% progressed per year.
https://www.esocan.org/endoscopic-surveillance-in-rural-china/
ESOCAN NewsEndoscopic surveillance in rural ChinaThe article discusses the findings of a community-based, multicenter, prospective cohort study on endoscopic surveillance for premalignant esophageal lesions in rural China. The study aimed to assess the incidence and risk factors for advanced neoplasia in patients with mild-moderate dysplasia. The results showed that most patients with mild-moderate dysplasia stabilized