The winter surge is coming!
R/T from Michael Hoerger, PhD
Today: 886,000 daily cases
1 in 54 infectious (1.9%)
In 4 weeks (Christmas Day):1.5 million daily cases
1 in 32 infectious (3.1%)
“1. For Nov 27, what is the COVID risk in the office, a classroom, or at a social gathering? 1/3
Bad.
10 people (daycare, team meeting) = 17% chance someone is infectious
30 people (classroom) = 43% chance
50 people (lecture, restaurant) = 61% chance
2/3
2. For Dec 25, what's the risk of COVID?
8-10 people (small gathering) = 25% chance someone is infectious
20 people (visiting two families) = 47% chance
100 people (flight, restaurant, etc.) = 96% chance
Limit gatherings, #MaskUp, #VaxUp, Test/Isolate, #CleanTheAir “